Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.010403 0.012588 0.015332 0.019119 0.024351 3.156170e-02 0.042716
2024-10-13 0.007410 0.009691 0.012913 0.018040 0.026528 4.122883e-02 0.072249
2024-10-20 0.006050 0.008313 0.011765 0.017835 0.029363 5.358963e-02 0.123244
2024-10-27 0.005421 0.007775 0.011618 0.019038 0.035206 7.734012e-02 0.260668
2024-11-03 0.005006 0.007449 0.011686 0.020605 0.042878 1.165963e-01 0.698456
2024-11-10 0.004684 0.007197 0.011794 0.022279 0.052263 1.822658e-01 2.969042
2024-11-17 0.004251 0.006670 0.011254 0.022296 0.057136 2.457074e-01 17.997228
2024-11-24 0.003863 0.006161 0.010638 0.021912 0.060576 3.186471e-01 2818.098806
2024-12-01 0.003440 0.005529 0.009659 0.020293 0.058391 3.448648e-01 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003129 0.005076 0.008985 0.019315 0.058287 3.990620e-01 NaN
2024-12-15 0.002927 0.004808 0.008667 0.019243 0.062214 5.395921e-01 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002790 0.004650 0.008564 0.019766 0.069714 8.537247e-01 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002610 0.004410 0.008295 0.019899 0.076878 1.457306e+00 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002380 0.004048 0.007691 0.018808 0.076148 1.882947e+00 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002225 0.003823 0.007379 0.018593 0.081231 3.363041e+00 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002157 0.003773 0.007480 0.019869 0.100048 1.804624e+01 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002108 0.003753 0.007654 0.021534 0.128253 4.691735e+07 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002061 0.003733 0.007825 0.023316 0.166985 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.001960 0.003578 0.007605 0.023334 0.184947 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001855 0.003408 0.007313 0.022925 0.196330 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001722 0.003161 0.006778 0.021202 0.180197 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001619 0.002977 0.006403 0.020164 0.175642 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001551 0.002870 0.006236 0.020086 0.190598 NaN NaN